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I'd imagine China is going to take Alaska first, since it'd be the hardest to defend if the US resisted, and there's some oil there iirc...
/EDIT: What's wrong with Germany? But yeah, Japan's my second choice...
They're going nuts. They've re-enacted a lot of hitler's old laws including ones revoking freedoms of religions and speech, people get jailed for even being a little outside the status quo, and their economy is gong down fast because companies have used patent lawsuits to impose embargoes on half the imported products.